Stock Market Cycles History: Major Cycles from 1900 to Today
First published: 2026
Brief summary
Overview of overlapping periodic market patterns since 1900: Kondratiev long waves (40-60 years, technology-driven), Kuznets secular cycles (15-25 years, demographic/infrastructure), Juglar business cycles (7-11 years, capital investment), and Kitchin inventory cycles (3-5 years).
Article
Stock Market Cycles History: Major Cycles from 1900 to Today is a general/educational overview published by FractalCycles in 2026. It provides an overview of overlapping periodic market patterns since 1900: Kondratiev long waves (40-60 years, technology-driven), Kuznets secular cycles (15-25 years, demographic/infrastructure), Juglar business cycles (7-11 years, capital investment), and Kitchin inventory cycles (3-5 years).
The analysis focuses on Kondratiev 40-60 yr, Kuznets 15-25 yr, Juglar 7-11 yr, Kitchin 3-5 yr. It also considers each documented via spectral analysis of historical market data to varying degrees of validation. This gives the cycle claim a specific numerical and evidential setting rather than presenting periodicity only as a visual impression.
The article reports the following result: Stock market cycle history reveals that financial markets have oscillated through multiple overlapping periodic patterns since at least 1900, ranging from Kondratiev long waves down to Kitchin inventory cycles, each with differing degrees of academic validation via spectral analysis. The interpretation is strongest when trend, volatility, structural breaks, data-snooping and out-of-sample performance are addressed.
For cycles researchers, the article brings together stock market cycles, kondratieff waves, kuznets cycles, juglar and kitchin cycles. It is relevant to financial-cycle research because multiple periodicities can overlap with trend, volatility, structural breaks and changing investor behaviour.
Because this is a general/educational overview, it is best used as an accessible introduction or perspective rather than as conclusive evidence. Forum discussion should follow its references back to the primary data and original research wherever possible.
Source details and credits
- Source / publisher: FractalCycles
- Source type: General/educational overview
- URL type: WWW
- Credits: FractalCycles
- URL: https://fractalcycles.com/guides/stock-market-cycles-history